Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/23/2012

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Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 56% of simulations, and the Kansas City Chiefs 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 82% when they take care of the ball. The Kansas City Chiefs wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Vick Ballard is averaging 56 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17% chance) then he helps his team win 84%. Jamaal Charles is averaging 98 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.
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